Track record · closed signal

NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) — closed signal from March 17, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on June 15, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

NVDA price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$184.25 Published $213.73 Target $212.45 Window close $236.54 Peak
$178.00 – $186.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$184.25Published — price the day we called it
$213.73Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$236.54Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$212.45Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 41 days.

Peak price
$236.54
peak on May 14, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+28.4%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$212.45
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
41
Window
March 17, 2026 – June 15, 2026

The thesis — published March 17, 2026

Predicted growth
+16%
over the measurement window
Target price
$213.73
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$178.00 – $186.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$184.25
published March 17, 2026
Confidence
77%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

NVIDIA is kept under close observation because the company and its news are very strong, but many investors already own it so the stock can move sharply and may not fall much before rebounding. New enterprise programs and a bigger AI chip opportunity point to continued demand, so the plan is to buy gradually on pullbacks, not to chase fast gains.

Primary drivers

  • Ongoing company news keeps AI demand momentum visible and credible
  • More enterprise deployments show real customer adoption continuing
  • Large scale and strong cash flow make the business unusually solid
  • Many investors already own it, so prefer buying on weakness

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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