Track record · closed signal

The Coca-Cola Company (KO) — closed signal from March 16, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on June 14, 2026 — +6.4% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

KO price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$77.65 Published $82.55 Target $82.62 Window close $84.04 Peak
$75.52 – $77.50Entry zone — fair-value band
$77.65Published — price the day we called it
$82.55Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$84.04Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$82.62Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 86 days.

At window close
+6.4%
realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window
Peak gain
+8.2%
peak, from the publication price — not a realized return
S&P 500, same window
+11.2%
SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted
Window close
$82.62
last close inside the window, ended June 14, 2026
Peak price
$84.04
peak on June 11, 2026 — not a realized return
Days to target
86

The thesis — published March 16, 2026

Predicted growth
+7%
over the measurement window
Target price
$82.55
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$75.52 – $77.50
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$77.65
published March 16, 2026
Confidence
64%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Coca-Cola is being recommended mainly as a steady, lower-risk holding rather than a fast-growing bet. Analysts like that the company just extended its history of raising dividends, which suggests more reliable cash coming in when markets are unstable. Shares recently pulled back a bit to a short-term level, so losses may be easier to limit than with more volatile consumer stocks. Over the next 0-3 months, the main value is stability.

Primary drivers

  • Beverage sales tend to hold up when markets are weak
  • Dividend increases point to steady cash returns
  • Buying near the listed range lowers the chance of overpaying
  • Limited upside but typically smaller drops than risky names

How it played out

KO: target reached in 86 days

Lyra published KO as a steady, lower-risk holding with 7% expected growth over 0-3 months. The thesis pointed to resilient beverage sales, dividend increases, an entry range of $75.52 to $77.50, and typically smaller drops than riskier consumer stocks.

The price reached the $82.55 target in 86 days. It peaked at $84.04 on June 11, an 8.2% gain, and ended the window at $82.62. The target was reached and the closing price remained above it. The published thesis played out.

What happened during the window

On April 28, 2026, Coca-Cola reported first-quarter net revenue growth of 12%, organic revenue growth of 10%, and earnings per share of $0.91. On April 30, 2026, its board approved the regular quarterly dividend.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.