Track record · closed signal

Eli Lilly and Company (LLY) — closed signal from March 16, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on June 14, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

LLY price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$996.67 Published $1,126.23 Target $1,133.00 Window close $1,182.73 Peak
$980.00 – $1,005.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$996.67Published — price the day we called it
$1,126.23Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$1,182.73Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$1,133.00Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 73 days.

Peak price
$1,182.73
peak on June 8, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+18.7%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$1,133.00
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
73
Window
March 16, 2026 – June 14, 2026

The thesis — published March 16, 2026

Predicted growth
+13%
over the measurement window
Target price
$1,126.23
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$980.00 – $1,005.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$996.67
published March 16, 2026
Confidence
84%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Eli Lilly is being recommended because it combines steady growth with more stable earnings than many fast-moving stocks. Recent good trial results for children and continued strong demand for tirzepatide make the company's sales story stronger, and the recent price pullback gives a cleaner chance to buy, though drug-pricing headlines remain a risk.

Primary drivers

  • Strong ongoing demand for tirzepatide supports sales growth
  • Positive pediatric trial boosts confidence in the drug pipeline
  • Healthcare business is comparatively steady in volatile markets
  • Buying on a pullback improves potential reward versus risk

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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