Track record · closed signal

Broadcom Inc. (AVGO) — closed signal from July 24, 2025

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on October 22, 2025.

Predicted vs. what happened

AVGO price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$282.66 Published $332.34 Target $339.65 Window close $372.88 Peak
$273.01 – $277.98Entry zone — fair-value band
$282.66Published — price the day we called it
$332.34Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$372.88Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$339.65Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 43 days.

Peak price
$372.88
peak on September 11, 2025 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+31.9%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$339.65
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
43
Window
July 24, 2025 – October 22, 2025

The thesis — published July 24, 2025

Predicted growth
+18%
over the measurement window
Target price
$332.34
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$273.01 – $277.98
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$282.66
published July 24, 2025
Confidence
68%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

The stock jumped 51 percent in three months on excitement about AI, then began drifting sideways as traders caught their breath. A new fund that buys every week is adding steady demand, and experts like Broadcoms custom AI chips plus the extra cash it can make by pairing VMware with its hardware. Picking up shares near $278 could pave the way for a climb toward $330 around the next earnings report.

Primary drivers

  • AI chip sales may rise over 50 percent a year, boosting company revenue.
  • Bundling VMware software could add about $3 billion in extra cash by 2025.
  • A newly launched ETF purchases shares weekly, creating steady buying pressure.
  • The recent pullback after a sharp rise may give investors a better entry price.

How it played out

AVGO: target reached in 43 days

Lyra published AVGO at $282.66 on 2025-07-24 with an expected gain of 18 percent. The thesis pointed to custom artificial intelligence chip sales, VMware bundling that could add about $3 billion in extra cash by 2025, weekly ETF buying, and a pullback after a sharp rise. It framed the setup as a short-term climb toward the target.

Inside the window, AVGO reached the target in 43 days. The peak was $372.88 on 2025-09-11, a 31.9 percent gain. It ended the window at $339.65 on 2025-10-22, still above the target. The thesis played out.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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