Track record · closed signal

Alphabet Inc Class A (GOOGL) — closed signal from March 15, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on June 13, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

GOOGL price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$302.28 Published $344.60 Target $359.68 Window close $408.61 Peak
$296.00 – $305.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$302.28Published — price the day we called it
$344.60Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$408.61Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$359.68Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 40 days.

Peak price
$408.61
peak on May 18, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+35.2%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$359.68
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
40
Window
March 15, 2026 – June 13, 2026

The thesis — published March 15, 2026

Predicted growth
+14%
over the measurement window
Target price
$344.60
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$296.00 – $305.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$302.28
published March 15, 2026
Confidence
82%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Alphabet is a strong, cash-rich company whose main businesses-search, YouTube, and cloud-are still performing well. Analysts agree on its quality, and the recent Wiz purchase strengthens its cloud and cybersecurity work. The trade-off: if investors move away from big tech, the position could get crowded and more volatile.

Primary drivers

  • Google search and cloud are continuing to execute reliably
  • Buying Wiz boosts Alphabet's cloud and cybersecurity offerings
  • Current pullback gives a cleaner buying point than many peers
  • Strong cash on the balance sheet helps limit downside risk

How it played out

GOOGL: target reached in 40 days

Lyra published GOOGL at $302.28 with expected growth of 14%. The thesis pointed to reliable execution in search and cloud, the Wiz purchase as a boost to cloud and cybersecurity, a cleaner buying point after a pullback, and strong cash on the balance sheet as downside support.

Inside the window, the stock reached the $344.60 target in 40 days. It later peaked at $408.61 on 2026-05-18, with a peak gain of 35.2%. By 2026-06-13, it ended at $359.68, still above the target. The thesis played out.

What happened during the window

On April 29, MarketWatch reported that Alphabet raised 2026 capital spending guidance to $180 billion to $190 billion after first-quarter results, and said 2027 plans were expected to rise significantly from 2026.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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