Track record · closed signal

CareTrust REIT, Inc. (CTRE) — closed signal from March 14, 2026

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on June 12, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

CTRE price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted

$39.20 – $40.50Entry zone — fair-value band

$40.03Published — price the day we called it

$44.43Target — the price the thesis aimed for

$43.08Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return

$36.85Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 69% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

Peak price

$43.08

peak on May 14, 2026 — not a realized return

Peak gain

+7.6%

peak, from the publication price

Window close

$36.85

end-of-window price, context only

Days to target

—

Window

March 14, 2026 – June 12, 2026

The thesis — published March 14, 2026

Predicted growth

+11%

over the measurement window

Target price

$44.43

the price the thesis aimed for

Entry zone

$39.20 – $40.50

the fair-value band we waited for

Price at publication

$40.03

published March 14, 2026

Confidence

82%

how strongly the data lined up

Timeframe

Short-term (0–3 months)

CareTrust is a lower-volatility pick that relies on steady cash from healthcare properties and a recent dividend increase rather than excitement from traders. That makes it a good holding if markets wobble over the next quarter. It is less likely to jump big like growth stocks, but its income and clearer downside make gains more predictable.

Primary drivers

Dividend increase makes total return more attractive
Steady cash from healthcare buildings reduces volatility
Leases give predictable income separate from the market
A calmer profile offsets riskier growth holdings

How it played out

CTRE: target was not reached

Lyra published CTRE on 2026-03-14 at 40.03, with an 11% expected gain and a 44.43 target. The thesis pointed to a dividend increase, steady cash from healthcare buildings, predictable lease income, and a calmer profile if markets wobbled over the next quarter.

Inside the 2026-03-14 to 2026-06-12 window, CTRE rose to 43.08 on 2026-05-14, a 7.6% peak gain. That stayed below the 44.43 target. It never got there. The stock ended the window at 36.85, so the thesis only partly played out.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

See today’s picks All CTRE signals