Track record · closed signal

Northwest Bancshares, Inc. (NWBI) — closed signal from March 14, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on June 12, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

NWBI price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$12.26 Published $13.98 Target $14.80 Window close $14.80 Peak
$11.90 – $12.50Entry zone — fair-value band
$12.26Published — price the day we called it
$13.98Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$14.80Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$14.80Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 45 days.

Peak price
$14.80
peak on June 12, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+20.7%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$14.80
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
45
Window
March 14, 2026 – June 12, 2026

The thesis — published March 14, 2026

Predicted growth
+14%
over the measurement window
Target price
$13.98
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$11.90 – $12.50
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$12.26
published March 14, 2026
Confidence
74%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Northwest looks like a careful buy for the next quarter. Company insiders are buying shares and the stock appears cheaper than some peers, which helps if the region-wide banking mood is poor. Trading is lighter than big banks, so the rebound may take time even if the company itself is in decent shape.

Primary drivers

  • Insiders buying shows management believes in the company
  • Valuation suggests the stock has room to rise
  • Simple bank business mix could recover faster
  • Few current buyers means a big rebound is possible later

How it played out

NWBI: target reached in 45 days

Lyra published NWBI on 2026-03-14 at $12.26 for a short-term window ending 2026-06-12. The thesis expected 14% growth. It pointed to insider buying, valuation room, a simple bank business mix, and the chance that light buying interest could leave room for a later rebound.

Inside the window, NWBI reached the $13.98 target in 45 days. The stock peaked at $14.80 on 2026-06-12, with a peak gain of 20.7%. It also ended the window at $14.80. The published thesis played out.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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