Track record · closed signal

Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) — closed signal from March 14, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on June 12, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

MU price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$426.13 Published $481.53 Target $981.61 Window close $1,089.29 Peak
$410.00 – $430.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$426.13Published — price the day we called it
$481.53Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$1,089.29Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$981.61Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 39 days.

Peak price
$1,089.29
peak on June 3, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+155.6%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$981.61
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
39
Window
March 14, 2026 – June 12, 2026

The thesis — published March 14, 2026

Predicted growth
+13%
over the measurement window
Target price
$481.53
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$410.00 – $430.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$426.13
published March 14, 2026
Confidence
70%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Earnings are coming soon and the company has been leading the semiconductor group lately. If management confirms strong demand for memory used in AI and gives positive guidance, the stock could keep rising. But it has already moved up and can be jumpy, so this is better as a careful buy-on-dips plan instead of rushing in before the report.

Primary drivers

  • Next earnings report is the main event driving price
  • Demand for AI-related memory products is central to growth
  • Micron has shown strength relative to peers into the event
  • High trading activity can help push price higher after news

How it played out

MU: target reached in 39 days

Lyra published MU on 2026-03-14 at $426.13 with expected growth of 13%. The thesis pointed to the next earnings report, demand for memory used in artificial intelligence, strength relative to peers, and high trading activity. It framed the idea as short-term and warned that the stock had already moved up and could be jumpy.

Inside the window from 2026-03-14 to 2026-06-12, MU reached the $481.53 target in 39 days. The peak was $1089.29 on 2026-06-03, with a peak gain of 155.6%. It ended at $981.61. The thesis played out.

What happened during the window

On 2026-03-18, Micron reported fiscal second-quarter adjusted earnings of $12.20 per share on revenue of $23.86 billion, and guided to fiscal third-quarter adjusted earnings of $19.15 per share on revenue of $33.5 billion.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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