Track record · closed signal

The Charles Schwab Corporation (SCHW) — closed signal from March 14, 2026

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on June 12, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

SCHW price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$93.06 Published $107.95 Target $91.10 Window close $100.76 Peak
$90.00 – $94.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$93.06Published — price the day we called it
$107.95Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$100.76Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$91.10Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 52% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

Peak price
$100.76
peak on April 15, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+8.3%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$91.10
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
Window
March 14, 2026 – June 12, 2026

The thesis — published March 14, 2026

Predicted growth
+16%
over the measurement window
Target price
$107.95
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$90.00 – $94.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$93.06
published March 14, 2026
Confidence
80%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Charles Schwab showed clear business improvement: many new accounts and more money brought in during February, and management raised the revenue forecast for the near term. Those are concrete signs the business is strengthening even though the wider financial sector is unsure. Because the price action isn't fully proven yet, it's safer to buy on modest pullbacks rather than chasing big strength.

Primary drivers

  • More money and new accounts flowed in during February
  • Management raised its near-term revenue forecast
  • Scale and wide services keep it competitive in brokerage
  • Lower price swings make planned buys easier

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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