NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) — closed signal from March 13, 2026
Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on June 11, 2026.
Predicted vs. what happened
What happened
Reached its target in 59 days.
The thesis — published March 13, 2026
NVIDIA looks appealing for the next 0-3 months because new demand news keeps coming and a big company event will draw attention to new chips and software. A recent large order story shows big customers are still spending. Many investors already own it, so the price can jump higher but also swing sharply; buying on dips makes sense.
Primary drivers
- GTC event can highlight new chips and software updates
- A big Blackwell order shows big customers keep buying
- Growing software and data center ties make switching costly
- High trading volume lets you buy in stages on pullbacks
How it played out
NVDA: target reached in 59 days
Lyra published NVDA on 2026-03-13 at 185.52 for a short-term window. The thesis expected 19% growth and pointed to the GTC event, new chips and software updates, a big Blackwell order, software and data center ties, and high trading volume. The stated target was 220.77.
Inside the window, NVDA reached a peak of 236.54 on 2026-05-14. That was above the target, with a peak gain of 27.5%. The target was reached in 59 days. By 2026-06-11, it ended at 204.87. The published thesis played out.
What happened during the window
At GTC 2026, NVIDIA announced BlueField-4 STX storage architecture. On May 20, 2026, NVIDIA reported fiscal first-quarter results and announced a larger stock buyback and dividend increase.
Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.
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