Track record · closed signal

NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) — closed signal from March 13, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on June 11, 2026 — +10.4% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

NVDA price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted

$181.00 – $187.00Entry zone — fair-value band

$185.52Published — price the day we called it

$220.77Target — the price the thesis aimed for

$236.54Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return

$204.87Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 59 days.

At window close

+10.4%

realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window

Peak gain

+27.5%

peak, from the publication price — not a realized return

S&P 500, same window

+11.7%

SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted

Window close

$204.87

last close inside the window, ended June 11, 2026

Peak price

$236.54

peak on May 14, 2026 — not a realized return

Days to target

The thesis — published March 13, 2026

Predicted growth

+19%

over the measurement window

Target price

$220.77

the price the thesis aimed for

Entry zone

$181.00 – $187.00

the fair-value band we waited for

Price at publication

$185.52

published March 13, 2026

Confidence

79%

how strongly the data lined up

Timeframe

Short-term (0–3 months)

NVIDIA looks appealing for the next 0-3 months because new demand news keeps coming and a big company event will draw attention to new chips and software. A recent large order story shows big customers are still spending. Many investors already own it, so the price can jump higher but also swing sharply; buying on dips makes sense.

Primary drivers

GTC event can highlight new chips and software updates
A big Blackwell order shows big customers keep buying
Growing software and data center ties make switching costly
High trading volume lets you buy in stages on pullbacks

How it played out

NVDA: target reached in 59 days

Lyra published NVDA on 2026-03-13 at 185.52 for a short-term window. The thesis expected 19% growth and pointed to the GTC event, new chips and software updates, a big Blackwell order, software and data center ties, and high trading volume. The stated target was 220.77.

Inside the window, NVDA reached a peak of 236.54 on 2026-05-14. That was above the target, with a peak gain of 27.5%. The target was reached in 59 days. By 2026-06-11, it ended at 204.87. The published thesis played out.

What happened during the window

At GTC 2026, NVIDIA announced BlueField-4 STX storage architecture. On May 20, 2026, NVIDIA reported fiscal first-quarter results and announced a larger stock buyback and dividend increase.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

See today’s picks All NVDA signals