Track record · closed signal

NextEra Energy, Inc. (NEE) — closed signal from March 12, 2026

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on June 10, 2026 — -6.7% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

NEE price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted

$89.00 – $90.80Entry zone — fair-value band

$91.20Published — price the day we called it

$101.23Target — the price the thesis aimed for

$98.75Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return

$85.12Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 75% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

At window close

-6.7%

realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window

Peak gain

+8.3%

peak, from the publication price — not a realized return

S&P 500, same window

+9.2%

SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted

Window close

$85.12

last close inside the window, ended June 10, 2026

Peak price

$98.75

peak on May 1, 2026 — not a realized return

Days to target

—

The thesis — published March 12, 2026

Predicted growth

+11%

over the measurement window

Target price

$101.23

the price the thesis aimed for

Entry zone

$89.00 – $90.80

the fair-value band we waited for

Price at publication

$91.20

published March 12, 2026

Confidence

67%

how strongly the data lined up

Timeframe

Short-term (0–3 months)

NEE looks like a steady utility stock that has bounced after falling. A big bank raised its price target because data-center demand could need more power, which gives a real reason for the bounce. The stock may attract safety-focused buyers, but recent governance news and unclear trend strength mean it is best to be cautious and avoid chasing gains.

Primary drivers

Bank target hike backs data-center demand story
Utility plus renewables appeals to safety-minded buyers
Recent weakness can draw buyers looking for a rebound
Governance news means be cautious with entries

How it played out

NEE: target was not reached

Lyra published NEE on 2026-03-12 at $91.20. The thesis expected 11% growth to $101.23. It pointed to a bank target hike tied to data-center power demand, the appeal of a utility and renewables mix for safety-minded buyers, a rebound after recent weakness, and caution around governance news.

Inside the window, NEE rose as high as $98.75 on 2026-05-01, a peak gain of 8.3%. It stayed below the $101.23 target and never reached it. By 2026-06-10, it ended at $85.12. The thesis partially played out, then faded.

What happened during the window

On 2026-05-18, NextEra Energy and Dominion Energy announced a $67 billion all-stock merger agreement, according to The Guardian. Axios also reported on 2026-05-18 that the proposed combined company would serve about 10 million utility accounts if approved.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

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