Track record · closed signal

Eldorado Gold Corporation (EGO) — closed signal from March 10, 2026

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on June 8, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

EGO price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$41.54 Published $44.45 Target $29.87 Window close $42.94 Peak
$40.50 – $41.80Entry zone — fair-value band
$41.54Published — price the day we called it
$44.45Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$42.94Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$29.87Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 49% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

Peak price
$42.94
peak on March 10, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+3.4%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$29.87
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
Window
March 10, 2026 – June 8, 2026

The thesis — published March 10, 2026

Predicted growth
+7%
over the measurement window
Target price
$44.45
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$40.50 – $41.80
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$41.54
published March 10, 2026
Confidence
62%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Eldorado is a decent gold company, but right now it is not the best short-term choice. The price has fallen a lot and that could help a rebound, and gold price support helps the story, but there are no immediate events or strong signs that it will move up soon. Other stocks have clearer short-term reasons to buy, so Eldorado is a lower priority for the next few weeks.

Primary drivers

  • Gold output and project options support future sales
  • Big recent decline could attract buyers who expect a rebound
  • Better sustainability and operations improve investor confidence
  • Fewer near-term events make it weaker than other picks

How it played out

EGO: target was not reached inside the window

Lyra published EGO on 2026-03-10 at 41.54 for a short-term window ending 2026-06-08. The thesis expected 7% growth toward 44.45. It pointed to gold output and project options, a big recent decline that could attract rebound buyers, better sustainability and operations, and fewer near-term events than other picks.

The stock peaked at 42.94 on 2026-03-10, with a 3.4% gain. That was still below 44.45, so the target was never reached. By 2026-06-08, EGO ended at 29.87. The thesis missed.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.