Track record · closed signal

Oracle Corporation (ORCL) — closed signal from March 5, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on June 3, 2026 — +48.6% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

ORCL price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$155.04 Published $173.64 Target $230.33 Window close $250.25 Peak
$148.00 – $155.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$155.04Published — price the day we called it
$173.64Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$250.25Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$230.33Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 42 days.

At window close
+48.6%
realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window
Peak gain
+61.4%
peak, from the publication price — not a realized return
S&P 500, same window
+11%
SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted
Window close
$230.33
last close inside the window, ended June 3, 2026
Peak price
$250.25
peak on June 1, 2026 — not a realized return
Days to target
42

The thesis — published March 5, 2026

Predicted growth
+12%
over the measurement window
Target price
$173.64
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$148.00 – $155.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$155.04
published March 5, 2026
Confidence
68%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Oracle is getting attention because its tools for handling data and customer information fit into the current wave of enterprise AI interest. New reports name it a leader and it launched an AI product for construction safety. The stock moved quickly, so gains may need a pause before lasting higher; watch for calmer dips to buy.

Primary drivers

  • Positive industry reports can boost demand for Oracle's data tools
  • New product news keeps Oracle visible to customers and buyers
  • When a stock jumps fast, better buying often comes after a drop
  • Big software stocks can swing on investor sentiment and multiples

How it played out

ORCL: target reached in 42 days

Lyra published ORCL at $155.04 on 2026-03-05 with 12% expected growth and a $173.64 target. The thesis pointed to demand for Oracle's data and customer information tools, enterprise artificial intelligence interest, positive industry reports, new product visibility, and the risk that a fast move might need a calmer dip first.

Inside the window, the stock reached the target in 42 days. It peaked at $250.25 on 2026-06-01, with a 61.4% peak gain, and ended at $230.33 on 2026-06-03. The published thesis played out, and the move went well past the target.

What happened during the window

On March 10, 2026, Oracle reported third-quarter revenue of $17.2 billion and raised fiscal 2026 revenue guidance to $67 billion. Business Insider reported that the shares rose as much as 10% after the results.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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