Track record · closed signal

Broadcom Inc. (AVGO) — closed signal from March 5, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on June 3, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

AVGO price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$328.60 Published $387.75 Target $479.23 Window close $495.00 Peak
$318.00 – $333.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$328.60Published — price the day we called it
$387.75Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$495.00Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$479.23Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 41 days.

Peak price
$495.00
peak on June 3, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+50.6%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$479.23
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
41
Window
March 5, 2026 – June 3, 2026

The thesis — published March 5, 2026

Predicted growth
+18%
over the measurement window
Target price
$387.75
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$318.00 – $333.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$328.60
published March 5, 2026
Confidence
80%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Broadcom just reported better-than-expected profits and gave a positive outlook for the next quarter. The company also approved a share buyback, which can help limit drops when investors sell. Its exposure to AI data-center demand gives extra support. Right now the stock looks like an early rebound, not a steady uptrend, so buy near support and watch closely if the bounce fades.

Primary drivers

  • Good earnings and a positive outlook can keep the stock drifting higher after the report
  • A new buyback gives the stock a built-in buyer during declines
  • Strong positioning for AI data-center demand supports the growth story
  • This is an early rebound, so use disciplined entries around support levels

How it played out

AVGO: target reached in 41 days

Lyra published AVGO at $328.60 on March 5, 2026. The thesis expected 18% growth and pointed to better-than-expected profits, a positive next-quarter outlook, a new buyback, artificial-intelligence data-center demand, and an early rebound that needed disciplined entries around support.

Inside the window, the stock reached the $387.75 target in 41 days. It kept rising and peaked at $495 on June 3, 2026, with a 50.6% peak gain. The window ended at $479.23. The thesis played out, and the move went beyond the published target.

What happened during the window

On March 5, 2026, Broadcom said first-quarter artificial-intelligence revenue grew 106% from the prior year to $8.4 billion and announced a $10 billion share-repurchase program. On June 3, 2026, Broadcom reported fiscal second-quarter adjusted earnings of $2.44 a share on sales of $22.19 billion, and forecast current-quarter revenue of $29.4 billion.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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