Track record · closed signal

Opera Limited (OPRA) — closed signal from March 3, 2026

Near target Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on June 1, 2026 — +24.9% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

OPRA price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted

$14.20 – $15.20Entry zone — fair-value band

$15.46Published — price the day we called it

$20.10Target — the price the thesis aimed for

$19.38Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return

$19.31Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Near target

Came within reach: 85% of the predicted growth at its peak, just short of the target.

At window close

+24.9%

realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window

Peak gain

+25.4%

peak, from the publication price — not a realized return

S&P 500, same window

+11.8%

SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted

Window close

$19.31

last close inside the window, ended June 1, 2026

Peak price

$19.38

peak on June 1, 2026 — not a realized return

Days to target

—

The thesis — published March 3, 2026

Predicted growth

+30%

over the measurement window

Target price

$20.10

the price the thesis aimed for

Entry zone

$14.20 – $15.20

the fair-value band we waited for

Price at publication

$15.46

published March 3, 2026

Confidence

71%

how strongly the data lined up

Timeframe

Short-term (0–3 months)

- Checklist: summarize catalysts, explain why they matter, state entry advice OPRA recently reported better-than-expected sales, management gave upbeat guidance to 2026, and the company approved a $300M buyback. Analysts raised targets, which can attract interest. The stock has already moved up and can swing widely, so waiting for a pullback into the entry range helps avoid buying at the top.

Primary drivers

Upbeat 2026 guidance could change investor interest
$300M buyback helps create steady demand for shares
Higher analyst targets can draw more investor attention
Sales beat adds credibility but stock can be volatile so be disciplined

How it played out

OPRA: rose 25.4%, but missed the $20.10 target

Lyra published OPRA at $15.46 on March 3, with a short-term thesis for 30% growth. The thesis pointed to better-than-expected sales, upbeat 2026 guidance, a $300M buyback, higher analyst targets, and volatility that made the $14.20 to $15.20 entry zone relevant.

Inside the window, OPRA rose to a peak of $19.38 on June 1. That was a 25.4% gain, but it stayed below the $20.10 target and never reached it. The stock ended at $19.31. The thesis mostly played out on price direction, but it missed the published target.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

See today’s picks All OPRA signals