Northwest Bancshares, Inc. (NWBI) — closed signal from March 2, 2026
Near target Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on May 31, 2026 — +11.6% at the close.
Predicted vs. what happened
What happened
Came within reach: 89% of the predicted growth at its peak, just short of the target.
The thesis — published March 2, 2026
NWBI looks like a short-term rebound idea tied to near-term news. Management will speak March 4, which could clear up questions about loans and strategy after recent bank worries. Insiders have been buying shares, which can help confidence. Another screen was more cautious, so the recommendation is to keep position sizes modest.
Primary drivers
- March 4 talk could answer loan and strategy questions
- Insider buying helps build investor confidence
- Stock could bounce if regional bank fears ease
- High event risk so use small, staged buys
How it played out
NWBI: the target was not reached by May 31
Lyra published NWBI on March 2 as a short-term rebound idea at $12.68. The expected growth was 14%. The thesis pointed to a March 4 management talk that could answer loan and strategy questions, insider buying that could help confidence, and a possible bounce if regional bank fears eased. It also noted high event risk and called for small, staged buys.
Inside the window, NWBI rose but stayed below the $14.45 target. The peak was $14.26 on April 28, a 12.5% gain. It never got there. By May 31, it ended at $14.15. The thesis partially played out, but the published target was missed.
Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.
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