Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd. (ASM) — closed signal from March 1, 2026
Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on May 30, 2026.
Predicted vs. what happened
What happened
Reached 4% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.
The thesis — published March 1, 2026
ASM is a short-term trade that could attract buyers because the company announced an expansion plan it can fund without debt. If metals remain attractive and the stock stays above key levels, traders may stay interested. The setup looks like a measured pullback rather than a late surge, but the stock can move a lot and could drop quickly if investor mood changes.
Primary drivers
- Expansion plan funded without debt draws investor attention
- Buying on a pullback gives better reward versus chasing strength
- Higher sensitivity to metals prices can boost gains in rallies
- Price swings and valuation risk mean keep position sizes small
How it played out
ASM: target was not reached by May 30
Lyra published ASM on March 1 at $9.62 as a short-term trade with 22% expected growth. The thesis pointed to an expansion plan funded without debt, a pullback entry, sensitivity to metals prices, and the risk that price swings could cut both ways.
Inside the window, ASM peaked at $9.70 on March 2, a 0.8% gain. That stayed below the $11.74 target. It never got there. By May 30, the stock ended at $7.16. The published thesis missed on price action within the measured window.
Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.
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