Track record · closed signal

Alphabet Inc. (Class C) (GOOG) — closed signal from February 28, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on May 29, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

GOOG price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$311.43 Published $348.80 Target $376.43 Window close $404.44 Peak
$304.00 – $312.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$311.43Published — price the day we called it
$348.80Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$404.44Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$376.43Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 58 days.

Peak price
$404.44
peak on May 18, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+29.9%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$376.43
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
58
Window
February 28, 2026 – May 29, 2026

The thesis — published February 28, 2026

Predicted growth
+12%
over the measurement window
Target price
$348.80
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$304.00 – $312.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$311.43
published February 28, 2026
Confidence
65%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Big tech buyers remain interested because of Alphabet's AI and cloud work, but the stock has pulled back and needs time to stabilize before a sustained rise. Short-term news can lift it, but a clearer upward turn will likely be needed for a lasting move. Be patient and expect staged buying; watch for regulatory or market sell-off risks.

Primary drivers

  • AI and cloud story could draw more investor interest
  • As a large company, it's easier to buy in stages without moving price too much
  • News and events can push the stock up in the short term
  • If it re-establishes an upward trend, prior highs become realistic targets

How it played out

GOOG: target reached in 58 days

Lyra published GOOG at $311.43 on 2026-02-28 for a short-term window ending 2026-05-29. The expected growth was 12%. The thesis pointed to Alphabet's artificial intelligence and cloud work, investor interest, short-term news, staged buying, and the chance that prior highs could become realistic if the stock re-established an upward trend.

Inside the window, GOOG reached a peak of $404.44 on 2026-05-18, above the $348.80 target. It reached the target in 58 days. The stock ended the window at $376.43. The published thesis played out.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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