Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd. (ASM) — closed signal from February 28, 2026
Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on May 29, 2026.
Predicted vs. what happened
What happened
Reached 3% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.
The thesis — published February 28, 2026
This is a high-volatility metals stock that can move quickly in a short period. The CEO described plans to grow by adding more producing sites and secured a long-term buyer, which makes future sales easier to predict. The price recently pulled back and looks like it could rebound, but swings can be large. Buy slowly near the stated range and lock in gains when the stock rallies.
Primary drivers
- Plans to add more mines could make the company worth more
- A long-term buyer deal makes future sales easier to forecast
- Price pullback gives a better chance for a short-term rebound
- Metal market moves can push the stock up quickly in risk-off periods
How it played out
ASM: target missed as the stock peaked at $9.70
Lyra published ASM at $9.62 on 2026-02-28 with a short-term view and expected growth of 25%. The thesis pointed to plans to add more producing sites, a long-term buyer deal, a recent price pullback, and metal market moves that could push the stock up quickly.
Inside the 2026-02-28 to 2026-05-29 window, ASM peaked at $9.70 on 2026-03-02, with a peak gain of 0.8%. It stayed below the $12.03 target and never reached it. The stock ended at $7.16. The thesis did not play out according to the measured price path.
Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.
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