Track record · closed signal

Alphabet Inc. (Class A) (GOOGL) — closed signal from February 27, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on May 28, 2026 — +26% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

GOOGL price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$309.51 Published $355.94 Target $390.13 Window close $408.61 Peak
$302.00 – $312.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$309.51Published — price the day we called it
$355.94Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$408.61Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$390.13Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 62 days.

At window close
+26%
realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window
Peak gain
+32%
peak, from the publication price — not a realized return
S&P 500, same window
+10.3%
SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted
Window close
$390.13
last close inside the window, ended May 28, 2026
Peak price
$408.61
peak on May 18, 2026 — not a realized return
Days to target
62

The thesis — published February 27, 2026

Predicted growth
+15%
over the measurement window
Target price
$355.94
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$302.00 – $312.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$309.51
published February 27, 2026
Confidence
71%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Alphabet may bounce in the next few months because attention on AI infrastructure keeps growing. Two news items on Feb 27 make that clear: Meta leasing Google TPUs shows real demand for Google Cloud's AI tools, and South Korea allowing more detailed map exports removes a long-standing obstacle. The stock is below recent highs, so a rebound is possible, but AI spending worries and regulatory stories can still cause big swings.

Primary drivers

  • Meta leasing Google TPUs shows real demand for Google Cloud AI
  • South Korea map export approval removes a long-standing obstacle
  • Large tech stocks often bounce back after sharp drops
  • AI spending and regulatory news can cause big price swings

How it played out

GOOGL: target reached in 62 days

Lyra published GOOGL at $309.51 on 2026-02-27 with a short-term thesis for 15% growth. The thesis pointed to demand for Google Cloud artificial intelligence tools, South Korea map export approval, a possible rebound after a sharp drop, and the risk that spending and regulatory news could cause big swings.

Inside the window from 2026-02-27 to 2026-05-28, the stock reached the $355.94 target in 62 days. It peaked at $408.61 on 2026-05-18, a 32% gain. It ended at $390.13. The published thesis played out.

What happened during the window

On 2026-04-29, Alphabet reported first-quarter revenue of $109.9 billion and profit of $62.6 billion. Google Cloud revenue was reported at $20 billion.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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