Track record · closed signal

Eldorado Gold Corporation (EGO) — closed signal from February 27, 2026

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on May 28, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

EGO price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$45.44 Published $54.52 Target $32.92 Window close $47.14 Peak
$44.50 – $46.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$45.44Published — price the day we called it
$54.52Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$47.14Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$32.92Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 19% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

Peak price
$47.14
peak on March 2, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+3.8%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$32.92
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
Window
February 27, 2026 – May 28, 2026

The thesis — published February 27, 2026

Predicted growth
+20%
over the measurement window
Target price
$54.52
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$44.50 – $46.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$45.44
published February 27, 2026
Confidence
85%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Eldorado stands out among miners because it recently started a dividend and bought Foran, so it now offers both regular cash returns and growth potential. Latest quarterly results showed good production and cash flow, which helps during price drops. The main danger is a sharp move down if gold prices or currency moves turn against the company.

Primary drivers

  • Starting a dividend can attract more long-term investors
  • Foran deal adds potential copper and gold growth options
  • Buying after a pullback gives a clearer, limited-risk entry
  • If markets become defensive, gold-linked demand can help shares

How it played out

EGO: target was not reached

Lyra published EGO on 2026-02-27 at 45.44 with expected growth of 20%. The thesis pointed to a new dividend, the Foran deal, recent production and cash flow, and gold-linked demand if markets became defensive. It also named gold prices and currency moves as the main risks.

Inside the window from 2026-02-27 to 2026-05-28, EGO peaked at 47.14 on 2026-03-02, for a peak gain of 3.8%. That stayed below the 54.52 target. It never got there. The signal ended at 32.92, so the published thesis missed.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.