Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd. (ASM) — closed signal from February 25, 2026
Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on May 26, 2026 — -23.6% at the close.
Predicted vs. what happened
What happened
Reached 41% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.
The thesis — published February 25, 2026
This is a short-term idea to buy a miner after a rough stretch. Mining peers are seeing better production and sales, and ASM was stronger than many recently. Price fell a lot, so the plan is to buy a small starter in a defined dip and only add more once the stock shows signs the drop is reversing.
Primary drivers
- Precious metals staying firm helps silver miners earn more
- A recent article showed ASM outperformed peers, drawing attention
- Price fell hard, creating a chance for a rebound back up
- Small miners often move more sharply when conditions improve
How it played out
ASM: the thesis missed the target
Lyra published ASM at $9.03 on February 25, 2026, as a short-term rebound idea. The thesis expected 18% growth to $10.66. It pointed to firm precious metals, stronger peer production and sales, recent relative strength in ASM, a hard prior fall, and the tendency for small miners to move sharply when conditions improved.
Inside the window, ASM peaked at $9.70 on March 2, 2026, for a 7.4% gain. It stayed below the $10.66 target and never reached it. By May 26, 2026, it ended at $6.90. The published thesis did not play out.
Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.
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