Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd. (ASM) — closed signal from February 25, 2026
Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on May 26, 2026.
Predicted vs. what happened
What happened
Reached 41% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.
The thesis — published February 25, 2026
This is a short-term idea to buy a miner after a rough stretch. Mining peers are seeing better production and sales, and ASM was stronger than many recently. Price fell a lot, so the plan is to buy a small starter in a defined dip and only add more once the stock shows signs the drop is reversing.
Primary drivers
- Precious metals staying firm helps silver miners earn more
- A recent article showed ASM outperformed peers, drawing attention
- Price fell hard, creating a chance for a rebound back up
- Small miners often move more sharply when conditions improve
How it played out
ASM: the thesis missed the target
Lyra published ASM at $9.03 on February 25, 2026, as a short-term rebound idea. The thesis expected 18% growth to $10.66. It pointed to firm precious metals, stronger peer production and sales, recent relative strength in ASM, a hard prior fall, and the tendency for small miners to move sharply when conditions improved.
Inside the window, ASM peaked at $9.70 on March 2, 2026, for a 7.4% gain. It stayed below the $10.66 target and never reached it. By May 26, 2026, it ended at $6.90. The published thesis did not play out.
Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.
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