Track record · closed signal

Broadcom Inc. (AVGO) — closed signal from February 25, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on May 26, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

AVGO price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$331.89 Published $381.67 Target $422.01 Window close $442.36 Peak
$320.00 – $335.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$331.89Published — price the day we called it
$381.67Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$442.36Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$422.01Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 48 days.

Peak price
$442.36
peak on May 14, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+33.3%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$422.01
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
48
Window
February 25, 2026 – May 26, 2026

The thesis — published February 25, 2026

Predicted growth
+15%
over the measurement window
Target price
$381.67
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$320.00 – $335.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$331.89
published February 25, 2026
Confidence
74%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

This is a short-term trade idea around the March 4 earnings report. If the company gives stronger guidance, it would confirm continued demand for its AI-related chips and networking gear, which the market is favoring. Because earnings can move the price sharply, buy gradually near the suggested zone and only add if the stock holds up after results.

Primary drivers

  • March 4 earnings could change expectations for future results
  • Spending shifts are helping companies that sell hardware
  • Business tied to demand for networking gear and custom chips
  • Price swings around earnings create short-term trading chances

How it played out

AVGO: target reached in 48 days

Lyra published AVGO at 331.89 on 2026-02-25 as a short-term trade idea. The expected growth was 15%, with a target of 381.67. The thesis pointed to the March 4 earnings report, stronger guidance, continued demand for artificial-intelligence-related chips and networking gear, hardware spending shifts, and price swings around earnings.

Inside the window, AVGO reached the target in 48 days. It later peaked at 442.36 on 2026-05-14, with a peak gain of 33.3%. By 2026-05-26, it ended at 422.01. The published thesis played out. It did more than reach the stated target.

What happened during the window

On 2026-03-04, Broadcom reported fiscal first-quarter results and guided for $22 billion in revenue for the current quarter. On 2026-05-22, Investor's Business Daily wrote that Broadcom was near a buy point after its recent high of 442.36.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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