Track record · closed signal

Helix Energy Solutions Group, Inc. (HLX) — closed signal from February 24, 2026

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on May 25, 2026 — +1.4% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

HLX price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted

$9.20 – $10.10Entry zone — fair-value band

$9.94Published — price the day we called it

$12.13Target — the price the thesis aimed for

$10.75Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return

$10.08Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 37% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

At window close

+1.4%

realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window

Peak gain

+8.1%

peak, from the publication price — not a realized return

S&P 500, same window

+8.8%

SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted

Window close

$10.08

last close inside the window, ended May 25, 2026

Peak price

$10.75

peak on February 24, 2026 — not a realized return

Days to target

—

The thesis — published February 24, 2026

Predicted growth

+22%

over the measurement window

Target price

$12.13

the price the thesis aimed for

Entry zone

$9.20 – $10.10

the fair-value band we waited for

Price at publication

$9.94

published February 24, 2026

Confidence

65%

how strongly the data lined up

Timeframe

Short-term (0–3 months)

Helix is a risky, fast-moving offshore services stock heading into its earnings report. Recent previews show weaker comparisons to the prior year and a big investor cut its stake, which can make the stock swing a lot when results hit. If the offshore market stays strong, the stock could jump, but the move is fragile. Prefer buying only after a pullback and keeping tight position limits around the report.

Primary drivers

Offshore demand can make results jump if the market stays strong
Earnings news can quickly change the stock price in either direction
Large holders changing exposure can make swings bigger
Buying on support reduces risk in a volatile setup

How it played out

HLX: target was not reached by May 25

Lyra published HLX at $9.94 on February 24, with a short-term setup looking for 22% growth toward $12.13. The thesis pointed to offshore demand, earnings news, large holders changing exposure, and the idea that buying near support could reduce risk in a volatile setup.

Inside the window, HLX peaked at $10.75 on February 24, a gain of 8.1%. That stayed below the $12.13 target. The stock ended the window at $10.08 on May 25. The thesis partially played out: the price rose, but it never reached the target.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

See today’s picks All HLX signals