Track record · closed signal

GDS Holdings Limited (GDS) — closed signal from February 24, 2026

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on May 25, 2026 — -22.9% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

GDS price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted

$42.00 – $46.50Entry zone — fair-value band

$45.45Published — price the day we called it

$55.44Target — the price the thesis aimed for

$47.00Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return

$35.02Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 15% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

At window close

-22.9%

realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window

Peak gain

+3.4%

peak, from the publication price — not a realized return

S&P 500, same window

+8.8%

SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted

Window close

$35.02

last close inside the window, ended May 25, 2026

Peak price

$47.00

peak on March 18, 2026 — not a realized return

Days to target

—

The thesis — published February 24, 2026

Predicted growth

+22%

over the measurement window

Target price

$55.44

the price the thesis aimed for

Entry zone

$42.00 – $46.50

the fair-value band we waited for

Price at publication

$45.45

published February 24, 2026

Confidence

68%

how strongly the data lined up

Timeframe

Short-term (0–3 months)

GDS is tied to near-term company moves that could quickly raise its value, like splitting off a unit and possibly listing in the U.S. An analyst increase after fundraising helps the story. But shares can fall fast if funding or China-related problems appear, so trade only with strict rules and close attention.

Primary drivers

Company reorganizations can clarify value for investors
Growing demand for AI data-center capacity supports revenues
Analyst upgrades can improve investor confidence and buying interest
High funding and geopolitical risk means strict position limits are needed

How it played out

GDS: target was never reached

Lyra published GDS at $45.45 on February 24, 2026, with expected growth of 22% over a short-term window. The thesis pointed to company reorganizations that could clarify value, demand for artificial-intelligence data-center capacity, analyst upgrades, and funding and geopolitical risk.

Inside the window, GDS peaked at $47 on March 18, 2026, for a 3.4% gain. That stayed below the $55.44 target. It never got there. By May 25, 2026, the stock ended at $35.02. The published thesis missed on the measured target, even though the stock briefly rose after publication.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

See today’s picks All GDS signals