Track record · closed signal

Compania de Minas Buenaventura S.A.A. (BVN) — closed signal from February 24, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on May 25, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

BVN price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$38.28 Published $45.16 Target $33.46 Window close $44.67 Peak
$36.50 – $39.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$38.28Published — price the day we called it
$45.16Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$44.67Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$33.46Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Hit or exceeded the predicted growth inside the window.

Peak price
$44.67
peak on February 27, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+16.7%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$33.46
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
Window
February 24, 2026 – May 25, 2026

The thesis — published February 24, 2026

Predicted growth
+18%
over the measurement window
Target price
$45.16
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$36.50 – $39.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$38.28
published February 24, 2026
Confidence
80%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Buenaventura is a metals-focused company that recently reported strong gold and silver production and steady progress on its San Gabriel project. That concrete news helps the stock more than purely sentiment-driven names. Trades can be slow and buying interest depends on metal prices, so treat this as a portfolio diversifier rather than a fast mover.

Primary drivers

  • Production updates and project progress make the company more reliable
  • Exposure to gold and silver adds diversity when risk appetite falls
  • Price could bounce back if metals stay in demand and sentiment steadies
  • Buying in stages helps because trading can be thin and choppy

How it played out

BVN: rose early but never reached the target

Lyra published BVN on 2026-02-24 at 38.28, with expected growth of 18%. The thesis pointed to metals exposure, gold and silver production, progress on San Gabriel, and staged buying because trading could be thin and choppy.

Inside the window, BVN rose quickly. It peaked at 44.67 on 2026-02-27, a 16.7% gain, but stayed below the 45.16 target. It never got there. By 2026-05-25, it ended at 33.46. The thesis partially played out early, then missed by the close.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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