Track record · closed signal

Compania de Minas Buenaventura S.A.A. (BVN) — closed signal from February 24, 2026

Near target Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on May 25, 2026 — -12.6% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

BVN price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted

$36.50 – $39.00Entry zone — fair-value band

$38.28Published — price the day we called it

$45.16Target — the price the thesis aimed for

$44.67Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return

$33.46Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Near target

Came within reach: 93% of the predicted growth at its peak, just short of the target.

At window close

-12.6%

realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window

Peak gain

+16.7%

peak, from the publication price — not a realized return

S&P 500, same window

+8.8%

SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted

Window close

$33.46

last close inside the window, ended May 25, 2026

Peak price

$44.67

peak on February 27, 2026 — not a realized return

Days to target

—

The thesis — published February 24, 2026

Predicted growth

+18%

over the measurement window

Target price

$45.16

the price the thesis aimed for

Entry zone

$36.50 – $39.00

the fair-value band we waited for

Price at publication

$38.28

published February 24, 2026

Confidence

80%

how strongly the data lined up

Timeframe

Short-term (0–3 months)

Buenaventura is a metals-focused company that recently reported strong gold and silver production and steady progress on its San Gabriel project. That concrete news helps the stock more than purely sentiment-driven names. Trades can be slow and buying interest depends on metal prices, so treat this as a portfolio diversifier rather than a fast mover.

Primary drivers

Production updates and project progress make the company more reliable
Exposure to gold and silver adds diversity when risk appetite falls
Price could bounce back if metals stay in demand and sentiment steadies
Buying in stages helps because trading can be thin and choppy

How it played out

BVN: rose early but never reached the target

Lyra published BVN on 2026-02-24 at 38.28, with expected growth of 18%. The thesis pointed to metals exposure, gold and silver production, progress on San Gabriel, and staged buying because trading could be thin and choppy.

Inside the window, BVN rose quickly. It peaked at 44.67 on 2026-02-27, a 16.7% gain, but stayed below the 45.16 target. It never got there. By 2026-05-25, it ended at 33.46. The thesis partially played out early, then missed by the close.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

See today’s picks All BVN signals