Track record · closed signal

Compania de Minas Buenaventura S.A.A. (BVN) — closed signal from February 23, 2026

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on May 24, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

BVN price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted

$37.50 – $39.20Entry zone — fair-value band

$39.00Published — price the day we called it

$47.58Target — the price the thesis aimed for

$44.67Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return

$33.46Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 66% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

Peak price

$44.67

peak on February 27, 2026 — not a realized return

Peak gain

+14.5%

peak, from the publication price

Window close

$33.46

end-of-window price, context only

Days to target

—

Window

February 23, 2026 – May 24, 2026

The thesis — published February 23, 2026

Predicted growth

+22%

over the measurement window

Target price

$47.58

the price the thesis aimed for

Entry zone

$37.50 – $39.20

the fair-value band we waited for

Price at publication

$39.00

published February 23, 2026

Confidence

74%

how strongly the data lined up

Timeframe

Short-term (0–3 months)

Buenaventura is a riskier mining stock that could bounce if gold and silver prices stay firm. Management gave guidance for 2026 and reported progress at the San Gabriel project, which could quickly change market expectations. After a recent drop the stock looks like it might rebound, but metals swing a lot, so keep position sizes small and use a strict stop.

Primary drivers

Clear near-term story from 2026 guidance and San Gabriel progress
Direct sensitivity to gold and silver prices can change valuation quickly
Recent drop makes a rebound possible if metals remain supported
High price swings mean manage size and use a firm stop

How it played out

BVN: target was not reached

Lyra published BVN at 39 on February 23, 2026, with 22% expected growth over a short-term window. The thesis pointed to 2026 guidance, San Gabriel progress, sensitivity to gold and silver prices, and a possible rebound after a recent drop. It also noted high price swings and the need for a strict stop.

Inside the window, BVN rose early. It peaked at 44.67 on February 27, a 14.5% gain, but it stayed below the 47.58 target. It never got there. By May 24, it ended at 33.46. The thesis partially played out because the rebound happened, but the target was missed and the close was below the publication price.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

See today’s picks All BVN signals