Track record · closed signal

Bank of America Corporation (BAC) — closed signal from February 23, 2026

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on May 24, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

BAC price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted

$51.75 – $53.00Entry zone — fair-value band

$52.83Published — price the day we called it

$59.17Target — the price the thesis aimed for

$55.40Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return

$51.80Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 41% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

Peak price

$55.40

peak on April 15, 2026 — not a realized return

Peak gain

+4.9%

peak, from the publication price

Window close

$51.80

end-of-window price, context only

Days to target

—

Window

February 23, 2026 – May 24, 2026

The thesis — published February 23, 2026

Predicted growth

+12%

over the measurement window

Target price

$59.17

the price the thesis aimed for

Entry zone

$51.75 – $53.00

the fair-value band we waited for

Price at publication

$52.83

published February 23, 2026

Confidence

75%

how strongly the data lined up

Timeframe

Short-term (0–3 months)

This is a short-term bounce idea, not a long-term breakout. The Feb 23 announcement that the bank will invest $25B in private-credit deals can lift how investors view future profits. Because the stock's longer trend isn't healthy, buy near the lower price area and sell into the first quick rally. Unexpected changes in interest rates or loan losses are the main dangers.

Primary drivers

$25B private-credit investment can improve near-term investor sentiment
Stock could bounce back after a recent pullback in a big, liquid bank
Overall interest in financial stocks can boost short-term rallies
Interest-rate or loan-loss news can quickly reverse the setup

How it played out

BAC: thesis rose but never reached the target

Lyra published BAC at 52.83 on Feb 23 as a short-term bounce idea, with 12% expected growth and a 59.17 target. The thesis pointed to the bank's $25B private-credit investment, a possible rebound after a pullback in a big liquid bank, broader interest in financial stocks, and the risk that interest-rate or loan-loss news could reverse the setup.

Inside the window, BAC peaked at 55.40 on Apr 15, for a 4.9% gain. It stayed below the target and never reached 59.17. By May 24, it ended at 51.80. The thesis partially played out: there was a bounce, but it faded before the target.

What happened during the window

On Apr 15, Barron's reported that Bank of America's wealth unit had first-quarter revenue of $6.7 billion and net income of $1.3 billion. On Apr 15, MarketWatch reported that Bank of America's total revenue rose to $30.27 billion and that equities trading revenue rose 30%.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

See today’s picks All BAC signals