Track record · closed signal

Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) — closed signal from February 22, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on May 23, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

MU price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted

$410.00 – $425.00Entry zone — fair-value band

$428.17Published — price the day we called it

$513.80Target — the price the thesis aimed for

$818.67Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return

$751.00Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 64 days.

Peak price

$818.67

peak on May 11, 2026 — not a realized return

Peak gain

+91.2%

peak, from the publication price

Window close

$751.00

end-of-window price, context only

Days to target

Window

February 22, 2026 – May 23, 2026

The thesis — published February 22, 2026

Predicted growth

+20%

over the measurement window

Target price

$513.80

the price the thesis aimed for

Entry zone

$410.00 – $425.00

the fair-value band we waited for

Price at publication

$428.17

published February 22, 2026

Confidence

85%

how strongly the data lined up

Timeframe

Short-term (0–3 months)

Micron makes memory chips that AI systems need. Right now there is strong demand and prices are steady because supply is tight. A big US factory plan and funds moving money into the stock are keeping attention on Micron. The stock can swing a lot, so buying when the price dips is safer than chasing big jumps after headlines.

Primary drivers

Limited supply for AI memory keeps prices firm
US factory buildout plans keep Micron in the spotlight
Big funds shifting money can make quick rebounds
AI company earnings can push memory prices up or down

How it played out

MU: target reached in 64 days

Lyra published MU at $428.17 on 2026-02-22 with 20% expected growth and a $513.8 target. The thesis pointed to limited supply for memory used in artificial intelligence systems, firm prices, US factory buildout plans, fund flows, and possible swings tied to artificial intelligence company earnings.

Inside the window, MU rose well past the target. It reached the target in 64 days, then peaked at $818.67 on 2026-05-11, with a 91.2% gain. The window ended at $751 on 2026-05-23. The thesis played out and exceeded its target.

What happened during the window

On 2026-03-18, Micron reported fiscal second-quarter earnings of $12.20 per share on revenue of $23.86 billion. On 2026-05-23, Tom's Hardware reported that Micron had begun producing 1-alpha DRAM at its Manassas, Virginia facility.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Lyra

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This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

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