Track record · closed signal

SkyWater Technology, Inc. (SKYT) — closed signal from February 20, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on May 21, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

SKYT price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$28.94 Published $36.18 Target $37.00 Window close $37.01 Peak
$26.50 – $29.50Entry zone — fair-value band
$28.94Published — price the day we called it
$36.18Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$37.01Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$37.00Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 83 days.

Peak price
$37.01
peak on May 21, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+27.9%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$37.00
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
83
Window
February 20, 2026 – May 21, 2026

The thesis — published February 20, 2026

Predicted growth
+25%
over the measurement window
Target price
$36.18
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$26.50 – $29.50
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$28.94
published February 20, 2026
Confidence
66%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

This stock is getting a lot of attention in the news, which makes its price swing up or down a lot. Reports about a planned buyout, accusations from short sellers, and a regulatory probe mean it could jump higher if the issues go away, or fall quickly if they get worse. For the next few months this is a short-term, limited-risk trade that depends on headlines more than the company's daily business.

Primary drivers

  • Acquisition news can quickly push the price up or down
  • Short-seller claims and a probe increase the chance of big moves
  • If risk clears, buyers who like niche chip makers may step in
  • Using set price levels helps limit losses in a news-driven trade

How it played out

SKYT: target reached in 83 days

Lyra published SKYT at 28.94 on February 20, 2026, with 25% expected growth and a 36.17 target. The thesis pointed to acquisition news, short-seller claims, and a probe as sources of sharp moves. It also said the trade depended more on headlines than on the company's daily business.

Inside the window, SKYT reached 37.01 on May 21, 2026. That was above the 36.17 target, with a 27.9% peak gain. The target was reached in 83 days. The stock ended at 37. The published thesis played out.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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