Track record · closed signal

Compania de Minas Buenaventura S.A.A. (BVN) — closed signal from February 20, 2026

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on May 21, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

BVN price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$38.76 Published $46.51 Target $33.71 Window close $44.67 Peak
$37.50 – $39.50Entry zone — fair-value band
$38.76Published — price the day we called it
$46.51Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$44.67Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$33.71Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 76% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

Peak price
$44.67
peak on February 27, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+15.2%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$33.71
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
Window
February 20, 2026 – May 21, 2026

The thesis — published February 20, 2026

Predicted growth
+20%
over the measurement window
Target price
$46.51
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$37.50 – $39.50
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$38.76
published February 20, 2026
Confidence
83%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

This miner could bounce over the next 0-3 months because mining news and higher gold prices are improving sentiment. The stock pulled back into an area that looks buyable, but trading volume is light so prices can swing widely. Use limit orders, don't chase big moves, and decide how much you're willing to lose before entering.

Primary drivers

  • Mining news and higher gold prices helping sector sentiment
  • Recent pullback looks positioned to reverse upward
  • Owns both gold and silver exposure, so gains with metal moves
  • Has clear price levels that let you set defined risk

How it played out

BVN: early rally stayed below target

Lyra published BVN on 2026-02-20 at 38.76 for a short-term window ending 2026-05-21. The thesis expected 20% growth, with a target of 46.51. It pointed to mining news and higher gold prices helping sector sentiment, a recent pullback that looked positioned to reverse upward, gold and silver exposure, and clear price levels for defined risk.

Inside the window, BVN rose early. It peaked at 44.67 on 2026-02-27, a 15.2% gain. That stayed below the target, and the target was never reached. By 2026-05-21 it ended at 33.71. The thesis partially played out, then missed.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.