Track record · closed signal

Uber Technologies, Inc. (UBER) — closed signal from February 19, 2026

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on May 20, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

UBER price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$73.53 Published $86.77 Target $74.60 Window close $80.82 Peak
$70.00 – $74.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$73.53Published — price the day we called it
$86.77Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$80.82Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$74.60Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 55% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

Peak price
$80.82
peak on May 7, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+9.9%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$74.60
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
—
Window
February 19, 2026 – May 20, 2026

The thesis — published February 19, 2026

Predicted growth
+18%
over the measurement window
Target price
$86.77
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$70.00 – $74.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$73.53
published February 19, 2026
Confidence
70%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Uber shows signs of investors gradually buying shares, but the price is still bouncing around. Recent news - a $100 million plan for fast-charging robotaxi hubs and a TurboTax promo to drive short-term ride activity - helps the story, though execution could be bumpy. For the next 0-3 months, consider adding shares at lower prices near the low $70s rather than chasing rallies.

Primary drivers

  • Investment in robotaxi charging could enable future driverless services
  • TurboTax deal may temporarily increase ride and delivery activity
  • Large scale in mobility and delivery helps the business withstand shocks
  • A forming base gives an easier way to add shares with lower risk

How it played out

UBER: the target was not reached

Lyra published UBER at 73.53 on Feb 19, with 18% expected growth over a short-term window. The thesis pointed to gradual investor buying, a $100 million fast-charging robotaxi hub plan, a TurboTax promo, scale in mobility and delivery, and a forming base near the low $70s.

Inside the window, UBER peaked at 80.82 on May 7, a 9.9% gain. That stayed below the 86.77 target, so there were no days to target. It ended at 74.60 on May 20. The thesis partly played out: the stock rose, but it never got there.

What happened during the window

On May 6, MarketWatch reported that Uber's first-quarter revenue grew 14% to $13.2 billion, while delivery gross bookings rose 28% to $25.99 billion.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Share this receipt

A scored call, published before the outcome was known. Paste the link anywhere — it unfurls as the card above.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

See today’s picks All UBER signals