Track record · closed signal

OR Royalties Inc. (OR) — closed signal from February 18, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on May 19, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

OR price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$42.85 Published $48.85 Target $35.49 Window close $48.06 Peak
$41.50 – $43.10Entry zone — fair-value band
$42.85Published — price the day we called it
$48.85Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$48.06Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$35.49Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Hit or exceeded the predicted growth inside the window.

Peak price
$48.06
peak on February 27, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+12.2%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$35.49
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
Window
February 18, 2026 – May 19, 2026

The thesis — published February 18, 2026

Predicted growth
+14%
over the measurement window
Target price
$48.85
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$41.50 – $43.10
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$42.85
published February 18, 2026
Confidence
82%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

OR gives you a way to benefit from precious metals without running mines. A big investor buying more shares and analysts raising targets made the stock more visible. The price pulled back recently and looks set to bounce if gold steadies. But if metal prices fall quickly, the stock could drop, so keep buys inside the suggested zone.

Primary drivers

  • A big investor buying more increases attention and trust
  • Royalties pay from partner mines, so operating risk is lower
  • Analyst price target increases make revaluation more likely
  • If gold holds up, the stock is positioned to recover

How it played out

OR: the target was not reached

Lyra published OR on 2026-02-18 at 42.85, with expected growth of 14% and a target of 48.85. The thesis pointed to a big investor buying more shares, a royalty model with lower operating risk than running mines, analyst price target increases, and a possible recovery if gold held up.

Inside the window from 2026-02-18 to 2026-05-19, OR rose to 48.06 on 2026-02-27, a 12.2% peak gain. It stayed below the target and never reached 48.85. By the end of the window it was 35.49. The thesis partially played out early, then missed by the close.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.