Track record · closed signal

Fluor Corporation (FLR) — closed signal from February 17, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on May 18, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

FLR price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$47.26 Published $53.88 Target $44.35 Window close $54.65 Peak
$46.50 – $47.80Entry zone — fair-value band
$47.26Published — price the day we called it
$53.88Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$54.65Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$44.35Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 3 days.

Peak price
$54.65
peak on May 6, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+15.6%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$44.35
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
3
Window
February 17, 2026 – May 18, 2026

The thesis — published February 17, 2026

Predicted growth
+14%
over the measurement window
Target price
$53.88
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$46.50 – $47.80
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$47.26
published February 17, 2026
Confidence
74%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Fluor just got $1.35 billion from selling a big stake in NuScale and says it will sell more shares by Q2. That cash can shift attention from confusing quarterly accounting to actually doing projects and returning capital to shareholders. The stock has fallen a lot and could bounce in the next 0-3 months, though project problems remain the main risk.

Primary drivers

  • Got $1.35B from selling NuScale shares, boosting cash
  • Plans to sell remaining NuScale shares by Q2, keeping a clear timeline
  • Cash may help investors focus on delivery of projects and backlog
  • Stock is down a lot and could have a short-term rebound

How it played out

FLR: target reached during the window

Lyra published FLR at $47.26 on 2026-02-17 with a short-term expected gain of 14%. The thesis pointed to $1.35 billion from selling NuScale shares, a plan to sell the remaining NuScale shares by Q2, more investor focus on project delivery and backlog, and a possible rebound after the stock had fallen.

Inside the window, FLR reached a peak of $54.65 on 2026-05-06, above the $53.88 target. The data says the target was reached in 3 days. The peak gain was 15.6%. It ended the window at $44.35. The thesis played out on the target, then gave back ground by the end.

What happened during the window

On February 17, 2026, Investor's Business Daily reported that Fluor's fourth-quarter revenue was $4.175 billion and that the company had sold 71 million NuScale shares for $1.35 billion. The article also said Fluor planned to sell its remaining 40 million NuScale shares in Q2 2026.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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