Track record · closed signal

Mr. Cooper Group Inc. (COOP) — closed signal from July 21, 2025

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on October 19, 2025 — +30.6% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

COOP price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted

$157.00 – $160.92Entry zone — fair-value band

$161.35Published — price the day we called it

$172.61Target — the price the thesis aimed for

$232.52Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return

$210.79Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 2 days.

At window close

+30.6%

realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window

Peak gain

+44.1%

peak, from the publication price — not a realized return

S&P 500, same window

+6%

SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted

Window close

$210.79

last close inside the window, ended October 19, 2025

Peak price

$232.52

peak on September 11, 2025 — not a realized return

Days to target

The thesis — published July 21, 2025

Predicted growth

+8%

over the measurement window

Target price

$172.61

the price the thesis aimed for

Entry zone

$157.00 – $160.92

the fair-value band we waited for

Price at publication

$161.35

published July 21, 2025

Confidence

82%

how strongly the data lined up

Timeframe

Short-term (0–3 months)

The share price is at an all-time high and stands about 10% above its recent average, showing strong momentum. Even so, it trades at only seven times next year’s expected profits, which is cheap for its field. A 17 July news piece underlined the massive $35 trillion home-equity market. The firm has bought back 4% of its stock this year and loan defaults stay low. If long-term rates rise, the price could reach roughly $175, or 8% higher, within three months.

Primary drivers

Price is about 10% above its recent average, leading other finance names.
17 July article on $35 trillion home-equity space drew fresh large investors.
Ongoing share buybacks shrink supply, adding steady demand for the stock.
Low late-payment rates ease credit fears after flat first-quarter sales.

How it played out

COOP: target reached in 2 days

Lyra published COOP at $161.35 on 2025-07-21 for a short-term window through 2025-10-19. The thesis expected 8% growth. It pointed to a share price at an all-time high, about 10% above its recent average, a 17 July article on the $35 trillion home-equity space, ongoing buybacks, and low late-payment rates.

Inside the window, COOP reached the $172.61 target in 2 days. The stock later peaked at $232.52 on 2025-09-11, with a 44.1% peak gain. It ended the window at $210.79. The thesis played out, and then the move went well past the target.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

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