Track record · closed signal

Mr. Cooper Group Inc. (COOP) — closed signal from July 21, 2025

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on October 19, 2025.

Predicted vs. what happened

COOP price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$161.35 Published $172.61 Target $210.79 Window close $232.52 Peak
$157.00 – $160.92Entry zone — fair-value band
$161.35Published — price the day we called it
$172.61Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$232.52Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$210.79Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 2 days.

Peak price
$232.52
peak on September 11, 2025 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+44.1%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$210.79
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
2
Window
July 21, 2025 – October 19, 2025

The thesis — published July 21, 2025

Predicted growth
+8%
over the measurement window
Target price
$172.61
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$157.00 – $160.92
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$161.35
published July 21, 2025
Confidence
82%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

The share price is at an all-time high and stands about 10% above its recent average, showing strong momentum. Even so, it trades at only seven times next year’s expected profits, which is cheap for its field. A 17 July news piece underlined the massive $35 trillion home-equity market. The firm has bought back 4% of its stock this year and loan defaults stay low. If long-term rates rise, the price could reach roughly $175, or 8% higher, within three months.

Primary drivers

  • Price is about 10% above its recent average, leading other finance names.
  • 17 July article on $35 trillion home-equity space drew fresh large investors.
  • Ongoing share buybacks shrink supply, adding steady demand for the stock.
  • Low late-payment rates ease credit fears after flat first-quarter sales.

How it played out

COOP: target reached in 2 days

Lyra published COOP at $161.35 on 2025-07-21 for a short-term window through 2025-10-19. The thesis expected 8% growth. It pointed to a share price at an all-time high, about 10% above its recent average, a 17 July article on the $35 trillion home-equity space, ongoing buybacks, and low late-payment rates.

Inside the window, COOP reached the $172.61 target in 2 days. The stock later peaked at $232.52 on 2025-09-11, with a 44.1% peak gain. It ended the window at $210.79. The thesis played out, and then the move went well past the target.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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