Track record · closed signal

OR Royalties Inc. (OR) — closed signal from February 15, 2026

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on May 16, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

OR price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted

$41.50 – $43.50Entry zone — fair-value band

$42.72Published — price the day we called it

$50.41Target — the price the thesis aimed for

$48.06Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return

$36.42Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 69% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

Peak price

$48.06

peak on February 27, 2026 — not a realized return

Peak gain

+12.5%

peak, from the publication price

Window close

$36.42

end-of-window price, context only

Days to target

—

Window

February 15, 2026 – May 16, 2026

The thesis — published February 15, 2026

Predicted growth

+18%

over the measurement window

Target price

$50.41

the price the thesis aimed for

Entry zone

$41.50 – $43.50

the fair-value band we waited for

Price at publication

$42.72

published February 15, 2026

Confidence

84%

how strongly the data lined up

Timeframe

Short-term (0–3 months)

OR is an easier, lower-risk way to bet on rising gold and copper over the next 0-3 months because it earns royalties instead of running mines. The stock fell sharply, then bounced and regained short-term footing, and a banker raised forecasts. A Japan Gold option adds extra future upside. Consider buying on a pullback if the bounce holds.

Primary drivers

Royalties give metals exposure without running mines, so fewer operating surprises
Analyst upgrade from CIBC after higher gold and copper forecasts
Stock bounced back after a sharp drop, showing near-term improvement
Japan Gold option extension creates extra longer-term upside potential

How it played out

OR: the target was not reached

Lyra published OR as a short-term royalty thesis at 42.72 on February 15, 2026. It expected 18% growth toward 50.41. The thesis pointed to royalty exposure to gold and copper without running mines, a CIBC upgrade after higher gold and copper forecasts, a bounce after a sharp drop, and a Japan Gold option extension.

Inside the February 15 to May 16 window, OR rose to 48.06 on February 27. That was a 12.5% peak gain, but it stayed below 50.41. It never got there. By the end of the window, the stock was 36.42. The thesis partially played out, then failed to hold.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

See today’s picks All OR signals