Track record · closed signal

Eldorado Gold Corporation (EGO) — closed signal from February 15, 2026

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on May 16, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

EGO price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$47.37 Published $57.79 Target $31.66 Window close $47.84 Peak
$46.50 – $48.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$47.37Published — price the day we called it
$57.79Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$47.84Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$31.66Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 5% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

Peak price
$47.84
peak on February 19, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+1%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$31.66
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
Window
February 15, 2026 – May 16, 2026

The thesis — published February 15, 2026

Predicted growth
+22%
over the measurement window
Target price
$57.79
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$46.50 – $48.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$47.37
published February 15, 2026
Confidence
86%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

EGO could keep rising over the next few months because people are focused on demand for gold and copper. Recent deals-buying Foran Mining and investing in Gemdale Gold-keep attention on the company, and an analyst upgrade backs that view. Shares pulled back after a strong run, so buying a small dip is safer than buying at the peak.

Primary drivers

  • Buying Foran Mining adds copper growth potential
  • Investment in Gemdale Gold keeps deal momentum going
  • Analyst upgrade made outlook more positive
  • Stronger gold and copper prices lift investor interest

How it played out

EGO: the thesis missed the target

Lyra published EGO at 47.37 on 2026-02-15 with a short-term view for 22% growth. The thesis pointed to gold and copper demand, the Foran Mining purchase, the Gemdale Gold investment, an analyst upgrade, and a pullback after a strong run.

Inside the window, EGO peaked at 47.84 on 2026-02-19, for a 1% gain. It stayed below the 57.79 target and never reached it. By 2026-05-16, it ended at 31.66. The published thesis did not play out.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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