Track record · closed signal

Borr Drilling Limited (BORR) — closed signal from February 14, 2026

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on May 15, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

BORR price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$5.64 Published $7.33 Target $6.26 Window close $6.38 Peak
$5.35 – $5.75Entry zone — fair-value band
$5.64Published — price the day we called it
$7.33Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$6.38Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$6.26Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 44% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

Peak price
$6.38
peak on May 15, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+13.1%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$6.26
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
Window
February 14, 2026 – May 15, 2026

The thesis — published February 14, 2026

Predicted growth
+30%
over the measurement window
Target price
$7.33
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$5.35 – $5.75
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$5.64
published February 14, 2026
Confidence
66%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

This is a short-term, high-volatility energy trade tied to offshore drilling demand. The company bought five high-quality jack-up rigs, which can boost revenue if offshore work and day rates stay strong. Prices already rose a lot, so gains can continue if demand holds, but losses can come quickly when sentiment or oil weakens. Size positions small and lock in profits on rallies.

Primary drivers

  • Bought five high-quality jack-up drilling rigs, growing the fleet
  • Higher day rates for jack-ups could lift revenue and investor sentiment
  • Recent strong price move may draw more traders and buying interest
  • Stock moves with oil and risk appetite, so use small sizes and limits

How it played out

BORR: target was not reached

Lyra published BORR at $5.64 on February 14, 2026, with expected growth of 30%. The short-term thesis pointed to offshore drilling demand, the purchase of five high-quality jack-up drilling rigs, higher day rates, recent trader interest after a strong move, and sensitivity to oil and risk appetite.

Inside the window, BORR rose but stayed below the $7.33 target. The peak was $6.38 on May 15, 2026, for a 13.1% gain. It never got there. The window ended at $6.26, so the thesis partially played out, but the full target missed.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.