Track record · closed signal

Eldorado Gold Corporation (EGO) — closed signal from February 14, 2026

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on May 15, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

EGO price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$47.37 Published $57.79 Target $31.66 Window close $47.84 Peak
$46.50 – $48.50Entry zone — fair-value band
$47.37Published — price the day we called it
$57.79Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$47.84Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$31.66Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 5% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

Peak price
$47.84
peak on February 19, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+1%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$31.66
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
Window
February 14, 2026 – May 15, 2026

The thesis — published February 14, 2026

Predicted growth
+22%
over the measurement window
Target price
$57.79
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$46.50 – $48.50
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$47.37
published February 14, 2026
Confidence
86%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Eldorado is positioned to keep rising over the next few months because investors are focusing on gold miners. A major bank raised its target and reiterated a positive rating, and Eldorado also invested in Gemdale Gold, which shows management expects long-term upside. In volatile commodity markets, buying on short dips is preferred.

Primary drivers

  • Bank raised its price target and kept a positive rating
  • Investment in Gemdale Gold adds future upside options
  • Leader status in miners can draw extra investor interest
  • Company profits can grow if gold prices rise next quarter

How it played out

EGO: the target was not reached

Lyra published EGO at 47.37 on February 14, 2026, with expected growth of 22%. The thesis pointed to investor focus on gold miners, a bank target raise with a positive rating, the Gemdale Gold investment, leader status among miners, and profit upside if gold prices rose next quarter.

Inside the window, EGO peaked at 47.84 on February 19, 2026. That was a 1% gain, and it stayed below the 57.79 target. The target was never reached. By May 15, 2026, the stock ended at 31.66. The published thesis missed.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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