Track record · closed signal

OR Royalties Inc. (OR) — closed signal from February 14, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on May 15, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

OR price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$42.72 Published $49.13 Target $36.42 Window close $48.06 Peak
$41.50 – $43.50Entry zone — fair-value band
$42.72Published — price the day we called it
$49.13Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$48.06Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$36.42Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Hit or exceeded the predicted growth inside the window.

Peak price
$48.06
peak on February 27, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+12.5%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$36.42
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
Window
February 14, 2026 – May 15, 2026

The thesis — published February 14, 2026

Predicted growth
+15%
over the measurement window
Target price
$49.13
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$41.50 – $43.50
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$42.72
published February 14, 2026
Confidence
80%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

OR gives investors short-term exposure to gold through royalty payments rather than owning and running mines. That usually means steadier cash flow and less operational risk. Recent analyst attention and an upgrade can attract more buyers, and the Japan Gold option-extension could add value. The price looks like it is forming a base, so buy small now and add if strength appears.

Primary drivers

  • Analyst raised target and kept a bullish stance
  • Upgrade to Strong Buy may attract new buyers
  • Japan Gold option-extension could increase future value
  • Royalty approach gives gold exposure with lower running risk

How it played out

OR: thesis came close, but target was not reached

Lyra published OR at 42.72 on 2026-02-14 with expected growth of 15%. The thesis pointed to royalty exposure to gold, steadier cash flow, less operational risk, recent analyst attention, an upgrade to Strong Buy, and the Japan Gold option-extension as possible support. The entry zone was 41.5 to 43.5, and the target was 49.13.

Inside the window, OR rose to 48.06 on 2026-02-27, a 12.5% peak gain. It stayed below the target. By 2026-05-15, it ended at 36.42. The thesis partly played out early, but it missed the target and finished below the publication price.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.