Track record · closed signal

Halozyme Therapeutics, Inc. (HALO) — closed signal from February 13, 2026

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on May 14, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

HALO price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$79.17 Published $90.25 Target $69.21 Window close $81.51 Peak
$77.00 – $81.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$79.17Published — price the day we called it
$90.25Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$81.51Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$69.21Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 21% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

Peak price
$81.51
peak on February 17, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+3%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$69.21
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
Window
February 13, 2026 – May 14, 2026

The thesis — published February 13, 2026

Predicted growth
+14%
over the measurement window
Target price
$90.25
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$77.00 – $81.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$79.17
published February 13, 2026
Confidence
71%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

There's an important results announcement next week and early hints look strong. If the company surprises positively and raises guidance, the stock could keep rising because it earns steady royalties and partners on drug delivery. Short-term moves can be sharp after earnings, so start small and add only if the report shows clear strength.

Primary drivers

  • Earnings can quickly change what investors expect
  • Royalty and partner deals make revenue more stable
  • Good previews raise the chance of a positive result
  • Strong follow-through after earnings can sustain gains

How it played out

HALO: target was not reached by May 14

Lyra published HALO on February 13 at 79.17 for a short-term window ending May 14. The thesis expected 14% growth and a move toward 90.25. It pointed to an important results announcement, possible guidance strength, steady royalties, partner drug-delivery deals, and follow-through after earnings.

Inside the window, HALO peaked at 81.51 on February 17, a 3% gain. It never reached 90.25. By May 14, it ended at 69.21. The thesis did not play out according to the measured price action.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.