Track record · closed signal

OR Royalties Inc. (OR) — closed signal from February 13, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on May 14, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

OR price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$41.30 Published $46.26 Target $38.37 Window close $48.06 Peak
$40.00 – $42.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$41.30Published — price the day we called it
$46.26Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$48.06Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$38.37Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 13 days.

Peak price
$48.06
peak on February 27, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+16.4%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$38.37
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
13
Window
February 13, 2026 – May 14, 2026

The thesis — published February 13, 2026

Predicted growth
+12%
over the measurement window
Target price
$46.26
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$40.00 – $42.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$41.30
published February 13, 2026
Confidence
79%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

OR Royalties gives you exposure to gold without the day-to-day headaches of running mines. Instead of owning a mining company, OR collects payments based on a variety of mines, so one bad mine hurts less. An analyst note and Japan Gold extending an option to buy another royalty are positive updates as the stock recovers from a sharp drop. If gold prices hold steady, expect a gradual rebound; wait for the price to settle before buying to reduce the chance of getting caught in more volatility.

Primary drivers

  • Royalties spread risk across many mines, lowering single-mine danger
  • Analyst attention helps keep investor focus on the stock
  • Japan Gold's option extension is a concrete, company-specific update
  • Gold exposure can benefit when investors seek safer assets

How it played out

OR: target reached in 13 days

Lyra published OR on 2026-02-13 at 41.3 with expected growth of 12%. The thesis pointed to royalty exposure across many mines, analyst attention, Japan Gold's option extension, and gold exposure when investors sought safer assets. It expected a gradual rebound if gold prices held steady.

Inside the window from 2026-02-13 to 2026-05-14, OR reached the 46.26 target. The peak was 48.06 on 2026-02-27, a 16.4% gain, and the target was reached in 13 days. The stock later ended at 38.37. The published thesis played out on the target, even though the window closed below the publication price.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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