Track record · closed signal

Eldorado Gold Corporation (EGO) — closed signal from February 12, 2026

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on May 13, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

EGO price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$46.25 Published $53.65 Target $35.54 Window close $48.20 Peak
$45.00 – $46.60Entry zone — fair-value band
$46.25Published — price the day we called it
$53.65Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$48.20Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$35.54Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 26% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

Peak price
$48.20
peak on February 13, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+4.2%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$35.54
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
Window
February 12, 2026 – May 13, 2026

The thesis — published February 12, 2026

Predicted growth
+16%
over the measurement window
Target price
$53.65
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$45.00 – $46.60
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$46.25
published February 12, 2026
Confidence
78%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Eldorado gives your portfolio exposure to gold and has a clear near-term reason to be noticed: a major analyst raised their target because they expect higher gold prices. If gold stays firm, that can attract quick buying. The stock tends to move up when upgrades arrive, so a cautious plan is to buy small dips instead of chasing sharp moves.

Primary drivers

  • Analyst raised the target after higher gold comments, drawing attention
  • Gold price moves can quickly lift the stock in a few months
  • Adds balance compared with tech-heavy portfolios
  • Buying on small dips limits whipsaw from commodity swings

How it played out

EGO: the thesis did not reach its target

Lyra published EGO at 46.25 on 2026-02-12 with expected growth of 16%. The thesis pointed to an analyst target raise tied to higher gold comments, possible buying if gold stayed firm, a history of moving when upgrades arrived, and using small dips to manage commodity swings.

Inside the window, EGO peaked at 48.2 on 2026-02-13, a 4.2% gain. It stayed below the 53.65 target. The window ended on 2026-05-13 at 35.54. The published thesis missed the target, and the final price was below the publication price.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.