Track record · closed signal

Eldorado Gold Corporation (EGO) — closed signal from February 10, 2026

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on May 11, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

EGO price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted

$40.50 – $42.50Entry zone — fair-value band

$41.86Published — price the day we called it

$50.24Target — the price the thesis aimed for

$48.20Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return

$34.40Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 76% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

Peak price

$48.20

peak on February 13, 2026 — not a realized return

Peak gain

+15.1%

peak, from the publication price

Window close

$34.40

end-of-window price, context only

Days to target

—

Window

February 10, 2026 – May 11, 2026

The thesis — published February 10, 2026

Predicted growth

+20%

over the measurement window

Target price

$50.24

the price the thesis aimed for

Entry zone

$40.50 – $42.50

the fair-value band we waited for

Price at publication

$41.86

published February 10, 2026

Confidence

84%

how strongly the data lined up

Timeframe

Short-term (0–3 months)

Investors are reacting to Eldorado buying Foran Mining and a positive credit review, which could make the stock re-rate higher soon. The stock has been sold down enough that a short-term bounce is possible. The company shifting to more copper plus gold strengthens the growth story, but execution and commodity price swings are real risks to watch.

Primary drivers

Foran deal grows the companys copper business
Positive credit review improves financial perception
Price may rebound if selling eases
Mix of gold and copper can draw more investor interest

How it played out

EGO: early bounce stayed below the target

Lyra published EGO at 41.86 on February 10, 2026, with a short-term thesis for 20% growth. The thesis pointed to the Foran deal growing the copper business, a positive credit review, a possible rebound if selling eased, and a gold and copper mix that could draw more investor interest.

Inside the window from February 10, 2026 to May 11, 2026, EGO rose to 48.20 on February 13, a 15.1% peak gain. It stayed below the 50.24 target. The target was never reached. By the end of the window, the stock was at 34.40. The thesis partially played out early, then missed the full target.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

See today’s picks All EGO signals