Track record · closed signal

Compania de Minas Buenaventura S.A.A. (BVN) — closed signal from February 9, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on May 10, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

BVN price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$37.83 Published $43.50 Target $35.36 Window close $44.67 Peak
$36.50 – $38.20Entry zone — fair-value band
$37.83Published — price the day we called it
$43.50Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$44.67Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$35.36Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 18 days.

Peak price
$44.67
peak on February 27, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+18.1%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$35.36
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
18
Window
February 9, 2026 – May 10, 2026

The thesis — published February 9, 2026

Predicted growth
+15%
over the measurement window
Target price
$43.50
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$36.50 – $38.20
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$37.83
published February 9, 2026
Confidence
78%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Buenaventura tends to move with silver prices and recent articles raised expectations for big profit growth. After a strong run, some investors are worried the stock is expensive, so shares pulled back and look oversold. That creates a short-term 0-3 month bounce chance if metal prices hold, but rallies are likely tradable moves rather than signs the company is being repriced higher.

Primary drivers

  • Silver sector strength can push prices and company profits higher
  • Recent analyst attention raises growth expectations and interest
  • The recent drop gives a clear price area to buy for a short-term bounce
  • Ongoing valuation debate will likely cause big swings and trading chances

How it played out

BVN: target reached in 18 days

Lyra published BVN at 37.83 on 2026-02-09 with a short-term thesis for 15% growth. The thesis pointed to silver sector strength, recent analyst attention, a pullback into a clear entry area, and a valuation debate that could create large swings. It framed the setup as a 0-3 month bounce, not a higher long-term repricing.

Inside the window, BVN reached a peak of 44.67 on 2026-02-27. That was above the 43.50 target, with an 18.1% peak gain, and it took 18 days. By 2026-05-10, it had fallen to 35.36. The thesis played out, but the move did not hold through the window.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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