Track record · closed signal

OR Royalties Corp. (OR) — closed signal from February 9, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on May 10, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

OR price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$41.10 Published $46.03 Target $38.42 Window close $48.06 Peak
$40.00 – $41.50Entry zone — fair-value band
$41.10Published — price the day we called it
$46.03Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$48.06Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$38.42Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 16 days.

Peak price
$48.06
peak on February 27, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+16.9%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$38.42
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
16
Window
February 9, 2026 – May 10, 2026

The thesis — published February 9, 2026

Predicted growth
+12%
over the measurement window
Target price
$46.03
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$40.00 – $41.50
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$41.10
published February 9, 2026
Confidence
86%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

OR Royalties collects payments from mines instead of running them, so it usually faces fewer production problems. A recent analyst upgrade and new royalty deals are keeping interest high. The stock pulled back recently and could bounce in the next 0-3 months. Biggest danger is a broad drop in metals prices.

Primary drivers

  • Upgrade from an analyst increases buyer interest and clarity
  • New royalty and stream deals create steady headline momentum
  • Royalties tend to be less affected by mine operating issues
  • Recent pullback gives a clear area to start a short-term trade

How it played out

OR: target reached in 16 days

Lyra published OR on 2026-02-09 at 41.10 for a short-term window through 2026-05-10. The thesis expected 12% growth, with a target of 46.03. It pointed to an analyst upgrade, new royalty and stream deals, a model less exposed to mine operating issues, and a recent pullback as the setup.

Inside the window, OR rose to a peak of 48.06 on 2026-02-27. That was above the 46.03 target, with a peak gain of 16.9%. The target was reached in 16 days. The stock later ended the window at 38.42. The thesis played out, then faded.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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