Track record · closed signal

OR Royalties Corp. (OR) — closed signal from February 9, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on May 10, 2026 — -6.5% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

OR price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted

$40.00 – $41.50Entry zone — fair-value band

$41.10Published — price the day we called it

$46.03Target — the price the thesis aimed for

$48.06Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return

$38.42Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 16 days.

At window close

-6.5%

realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window

Peak gain

+16.9%

peak, from the publication price — not a realized return

S&P 500, same window

+6.6%

SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted

Window close

$38.42

last close inside the window, ended May 10, 2026

Peak price

$48.06

peak on February 27, 2026 — not a realized return

Days to target

The thesis — published February 9, 2026

Predicted growth

+12%

over the measurement window

Target price

$46.03

the price the thesis aimed for

Entry zone

$40.00 – $41.50

the fair-value band we waited for

Price at publication

$41.10

published February 9, 2026

Confidence

86%

how strongly the data lined up

Timeframe

Short-term (0–3 months)

OR Royalties collects payments from mines instead of running them, so it usually faces fewer production problems. A recent analyst upgrade and new royalty deals are keeping interest high. The stock pulled back recently and could bounce in the next 0-3 months. Biggest danger is a broad drop in metals prices.

Primary drivers

Upgrade from an analyst increases buyer interest and clarity
New royalty and stream deals create steady headline momentum
Royalties tend to be less affected by mine operating issues
Recent pullback gives a clear area to start a short-term trade

How it played out

OR: target reached in 16 days

Lyra published OR on 2026-02-09 at 41.10 for a short-term window through 2026-05-10. The thesis expected 12% growth, with a target of 46.03. It pointed to an analyst upgrade, new royalty and stream deals, a model less exposed to mine operating issues, and a recent pullback as the setup.

Inside the window, OR rose to a peak of 48.06 on 2026-02-27. That was above the 46.03 target, with a peak gain of 16.9%. The target was reached in 16 days. The stock later ended the window at 38.42. The thesis played out, then faded.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

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