Track record · closed signal

Eldorado Gold Corporation (EGO) — closed signal from February 8, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on May 9, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

EGO price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$39.02 Published $46.04 Target $34.15 Window close $48.20 Peak
$37.50 – $39.50Entry zone — fair-value band
$39.02Published — price the day we called it
$46.04Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$48.20Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$34.15Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 3 days.

Peak price
$48.20
peak on February 13, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+23.5%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$34.15
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
3
Window
February 8, 2026 – May 9, 2026

The thesis — published February 8, 2026

Predicted growth
+18%
over the measurement window
Target price
$46.04
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$37.50 – $39.50
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$39.02
published February 8, 2026
Confidence
70%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Eldorado has recently bounced after a short sell-off, helped by news it will buy Foran Mining using its shares. That deal increases how much the company benefits from copper and keeps people watching the stock into the next quarter. If metal prices stay steady, the stock could have a short-term rebound, but it can move quickly and the deal or weaker metals could push it lower.

Primary drivers

  • Acquisition news keeps the stock in the headlines and investor focus
  • More copper exposure strengthens the company's growth story
  • Recent oversold move may reverse if metal prices remain steady
  • Deal activity can draw attention from sector investors and rerate attempts

How it played out

EGO: target reached in 3 days

Lyra published EGO at $39.02 on 2026-02-08 with an 18% expected gain and a $46.04 target. The thesis pointed to a rebound after a short sell-off, the planned Foran Mining share deal, more copper exposure, and renewed investor attention if metal prices stayed steady.

Inside the window, the stock reached $48.20 on 2026-02-13. That was above the target, with a 23.5% peak gain, and it got there in 3 days. The move did not hold through the full window. EGO ended at $34.15 on 2026-05-09. The thesis played out on the target test, then faded by the close.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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