Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd. (ASM) — closed signal from February 8, 2026
Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on May 9, 2026.
Predicted vs. what happened
What happened
Reached 31% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.
The thesis — published February 8, 2026
ASM is bouncing now because silver prices jumped this week. Small miners often rise fast when the sector gets attention and buyers return. The stock pulled back after a big move, so buying in stages on dips is safer than chasing a spike. Be careful: miners can drop quickly if metal prices fall or trading thins out.
Primary drivers
- Higher silver prices give direct help to miner profits
- Profits react strongly when metal prices move up
- Current pullback offers a calmer entry than chasing gains
- More investor focus can make it easier to buy and sell
How it played out
ASM: target was not reached
Lyra published ASM at 10.15 on 2026-02-08 with a short-term thesis for 25% growth. The thesis pointed to higher silver prices, stronger profit sensitivity when metals moved up, a pullback that offered a calmer entry, and more investor focus that could improve trading conditions.
Inside the window, ASM rose quickly but did not reach the 12.69 target. Its peak was 10.94 on 2026-02-09, a 7.8% gain. It never got there. By 2026-05-09, the stock ended at 6.90. The published thesis missed the target and finished below the publication price.
Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.
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