Track record · closed signal

Bank of America Corporation (BAC) — closed signal from February 8, 2026

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on May 9, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

BAC price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted

$55.00 – $56.70Entry zone — fair-value band

$56.53Published — price the day we called it

$63.31Target — the price the thesis aimed for

$56.83Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return

$51.31Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 4% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

Peak price

$56.83

peak on February 10, 2026 — not a realized return

Peak gain

+0.5%

peak, from the publication price

Window close

$51.31

end-of-window price, context only

Days to target

—

Window

February 8, 2026 – May 9, 2026

The thesis — published February 8, 2026

Predicted growth

+12%

over the measurement window

Target price

$63.31

the price the thesis aimed for

Entry zone

$55.00 – $56.70

the fair-value band we waited for

Price at publication

$56.53

published February 8, 2026

Confidence

80%

how strongly the data lined up

Timeframe

Short-term (0–3 months)

This is a short-term momentum trade where analysts expect money to move into banks and real-economy businesses. A recent note reinforced the dividend, which helps attract buyers who want income. The stock ran up quickly, so the safer way in is on small pullbacks that hold above recent key price levels. A sharp change in interest rates or a broad market selloff could erase gains fast.

Primary drivers

Money moving into banks as strategists recommend the sector
Dividend confirmation gives income-focused buyers confidence
Recent price strength can draw traders who follow trends
Big-company size makes it easier to manage risk tightly

How it played out

BAC: target was not reached

Lyra published BAC at $56.53 on February 8, with 12% expected growth for a short-term trade. The thesis pointed to money moving into banks, dividend confirmation, recent price strength, and the company's big-company size as reasons the setup could work. It also said a sharp change in interest rates or a broad market selloff could erase gains fast.

Inside the February 8 to May 9 window, BAC peaked at $56.83 on February 10, for a 0.5% gain. It stayed below the $63.31 target. The stock ended the window at $51.31. The thesis did not play out.

What happened during the window

On April 15, 2026, MarketWatch reported that Bank of America posted first-quarter profit and revenue above analyst expectations. The article said the stock rose after the report.

Bank of America's 30% jump in equities revenue pushes stock toward a two-month high

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

See today’s picks All BAC signals