Track record · closed signal

Eldorado Gold Corporation (EGO) — closed signal from February 7, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on May 8, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

EGO price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$39.02 Published $46.82 Target $34.15 Window close $48.20 Peak
$37.50 – $39.50Entry zone — fair-value band
$39.02Published — price the day we called it
$46.82Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$48.20Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$34.15Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 5 days.

Peak price
$48.20
peak on February 13, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+23.5%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$34.15
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
5
Window
February 7, 2026 – May 8, 2026

The thesis — published February 7, 2026

Predicted growth
+20%
over the measurement window
Target price
$46.82
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$37.50 – $39.50
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$39.02
published February 7, 2026
Confidence
67%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Eldorado plans to buy Foran Mining, shifting the company toward more copper and gold. That kind of deal can make buyers optimistic about bigger scale and cost savings, but it can also create worries about fitting the companies together and possible extra shares or costs. For short-term trades, buying on pullbacks in the entry zone and tight risk control makes sense because miners can move sharply.

Primary drivers

  • The acquisition headline can change investor views over several weeks
  • Adding more copper exposure makes the company's growth story bigger
  • Deal news can cause sharp rises and sharp drops in price
  • This setup favors staged buys and strict risk limits on pullbacks

How it played out

EGO: target reached in 5 days

Lyra published EGO at 39.02 on 2026-02-07 with a short-term thesis for 20% growth. The thesis pointed to Eldorado's plan to buy Foran Mining, with more copper and gold exposure, possible scale and cost savings, and the risk that deal news could also bring worries about integration, extra shares, or costs.

Inside the window, the stock reached 48.20 on 2026-02-13, above the 46.82 target. That was a 23.5% peak gain, and the target was reached in 5 days. By 2026-05-08, it ended at 34.15. The thesis played out early, then the gain did not hold.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.